MFA OIL
Forward fuel contracting By David Perkins
Fuel prices were a hot topic during the last part of 2005.
Prices of unleaded gasoline and diesel fuel reached unheard-of levels following
hurricanes that devastated the heart of America's Gulf Coast refinery region.
In fact, for the last several years the trend toward volatility in energy
prices has left consumers wondering how high prices can go. For background, we
can look at some government statistics to see where we have been.
According to the government's Energy Information
Administration, the average monthly retail price per gallon of diesel fuel
fluctuated $1.17 and unleaded gas fluctuated $1.07 during 2005, a very
different story than 1995, when the retail price of diesel fuel only fluctuated
five cents per gallon and unleaded gas 12 cents per gallon. In 1995, the
highest monthly average retail price for a gallon of diesel fuel was $1.11 and
the high for unleaded gas was $1.19 per gallon, a far cry from prices that
climbed higher than $3 during 2005.
Ten years ago, there was no need for price protection, but
the challenges that faced us in 2005 will continue into 2006. Given the current
tight balance of supply and demand, unexpected supply disruptions, like this
last hurricane season, can create a recipe for extreme price volatility and the
need for price protection. A good time to look at forward contracting would be
when prices are on the down side of the volatility roller coaster.
Forward fuel contracting gives consumers the assurance of
knowing what their fuel costs will be for a certain period of time. This is a
purchasing option that offers peace of mind by allowing producers to lock in
fuel costs and reduce market risk. Forward fuel contracting is a good tool for
producers who operate on a budget because it allows them to know their fuel
costs in advance. It is also a good purchasing option for producers who believe
fuel prices will trend up, allowing them to lock in a price ahead of time.
Forward fuel contacting is not a guarantee of the lowest
fuel price but protection against higher prices. The contract price is based on
the futures market. The futures market is based on what traders believe will
happen in the market. Since no one knows the future, there is no guarantee.
Two types of forward fuel contracts typically are offered:
fixed price and maximum price. A fixed-price contract means the price is fixed
for a specific number of gallons for a specific period of time. This type of
agreement is especially good for those who feel confident that prices are
likely to be higher during that specified period of time. The benefits of a
fixed price contract are:
-You
know your actual fuel cost with certainty.
-You
can establish your fuel cost well in advance of when the fuel is needed.
-You
can accurately budget your fuel cost.
The maximum-price contract gives producers protection from
increasing prices and, for an extra fee, assurance of a lower price if the
market declines. In other words, the producer's price will be the lower of the
contract price or the market price for a specific number of gallons for a
specific period of time. The extra fee, or premium, is simply an insurance
premium. Benefits of the maximum price contract are:
-You
have the ability to fix, with certainty, the maximum price you will pay.
-You
can establish the maximum price of your fuel cost well in advance.
-You
can choose to pay an extra fee to take advantage of lower market price.
-You
can budget the maximum amount of your fuel cost.
Forward fuel contracting provides a tool for producers to
control their fuel costs, which in today's volatile price environment may offer
significant savings. Paul Wilson, Shelbyville, Mo., was one of many farmers who
protected fuel input costs in 2005. According to Wilson, "Forward fuel
contracting gives you an opportunity to protect yourself from rising fuel costs
for a minimal fee. It really worked well this year."
If you are interested in price protection for your fuel
needs, contact your local fuel supplier to discuss details. Most suppliers now
offer these options.
David Perkins is manager of special projects for MFA Oil Company
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